FILE PHOTO: Democratic U.S. presidential candidate and former Vice President Joe Biden speaks about his plans for tackling climate change during a campaign event in Wilmington, Delaware, U.S., July 14, 2020. REUTERS/Leah Millis/File Photo

THE NEUTRAL ZONE

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a significant point margin nationally, as reported in recent polls. According to a Fox News Poll released Sunday, 29% of voters said coronavirus is the most important issue facing the country, and over half of the voters disapprove of President Trump’s response to the virus. Fifteen percent of respondents said the economy is the most important issue and 10% said it was issues surrounding race relations, race issues, and the police.

Similar results in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll found the public preference for Biden over President Trump to handle the coronavirus has “soared since March.” Biden also gained ground to handle the economy after trailing in March. Biden leads President Trump by 9 points on handling crime and safety and 25 points on race relations.

Trump campaign spokesman Hogan Gidley stated that even though polls show Trump losing to Biden, the president is winning “in other ways.” In an interview aired on Sunday on Fox News with host Chris Wallace, President Trump stated, “I’m not losing because those are fake polls.” Trump also claimed that his campaign has internal polls showing him “leading in every swing state.”

MEDIA PERSPECTIVE

Biden leads Trump nationally by 15 points: pollThe Hill7/19/2020
The survey, which was released on Sunday, found that 55 percent of registered voters say they would vote for the former vice president if the 2020 election were held today, while 40 percent say they’d back Trump. The findings represent a substantial shift in support for Biden, who led Trump by just 2 points in a similar poll released in March and by 10 points in May. 

Trump’s law-and-order message flopsThe Washington Post7/20/2020
Last week, I noted that most of the wedge issues and culture wars President Trump has brought to the forefront in the 2020 can campaign don’t seem to be working for him. And on Sunday came further evidence that another key one is failing: law and order.

Trump slams ‘fake’ Fox News poll showing Biden leading 2020 presidential raceNew York Post7/19/2020
President Trump cast doubt on a new Fox News poll that shows Democratic challenger Joe Biden leading him in the 2020 White House race, blasting the survey as “fake.”

Big Polling Leads Tend to Erode. Is Biden’s Edge Different?New York Times7/20/2020
President Trump cast doubt on a new Fox News poll that shows Democratic challenger Joe Biden leading him in the 2020 White House race, blasting the survey as “fake.”

INFLUENCER PERSPECTIVE

Wolf Blitzer on Twitter, 7/20/2020: The just-released @CNN Poll of Polls on the average of the five most recent and recognized national polls has @JoeBiden leading @realDonaldTrump 52-40 percent. The five polls are: @FoxNews@washingtonpost/@ABC@QuinnipiacPoll@NBCNews/@WSJ and @MonmouthPoll

Sara A. Carter on Twitter, 7/20/2020: Flashback Oct 26, 2016: “@HillaryClinton Leads Donald Trump by 14 Points Nationally in New Poll”

Bill Mitchell on Twitter, 7/20/2020: Mike Pence says he believes “polling is broken in America.” Well, obviously. For a poll to be a scientifically random sample, you need a 90% response rate. Rates are now 6%. What does this mean? Because samples are not scientifically random, you have demos underrepresented…

Jennifer Epstein on Twitter, 7/20/2020: Among registered voters, Biden has fully erased Trump’s advantage on the economy, which we were still seeing in multiple polls as of couple weeks ago. Biden also had a slim edge on the economy in the Q poll last week.

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