THE NEUTRAL ZONE
As it stands, nine races for the U.S. House of Representatives states have flipped parties. Though Democrats will likely retain their majority, they could end up with the slimmest majority in 20 years for either party. Democrats gained control of the House following the 2018 election. They won 41 seats, the largest gain for the party since 1974.
Republicans gained seats in projected victories by:
- Ashley Hinson in Iowa
- Michelle Fischbach in Minnesota
- Yvette Herrell in New Mexico
- Stephanie Bice in Oklahoma
- Carlos Gimenez in Florida
- Maria Elvira Salazar in Florida
- Nancy Mace in South Carolina
Democrats gained seats following wins by:
- Deborah Ross in South Carolina
- Kathy Manning in South Carolina
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who won her reelection in California’s 12th Congressional District, said campaigning on health care amid the pandemic helped Democrats retain their majority. All four members of the group colloquially known as the Squad – Representatives Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, Rashida Tlaib of Michigan and Ayanna Pressley of Massachusetts – have won reelection. Ritchie Torres and Mondaire Jones became the first openly gay Black members of the House. In addition, a record number of Native American women were elected to Congress following victories by Democrats Deb Haaland and Sharice Davids and Republican Yvette Herrell.
Republicans also saw a series of notable victories in the House of Representatives. House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy said the erosion of the Democratic majority could spell trouble for Pelosi’s votes to remain speaker and her ability to get her agenda passed. Gimenez, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, unseated incumbent Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Florida. Republican rising star Madison Cawthorn, 25, was elected in North Carolina, becoming one of the youngest people to serve in Congress. Marjorie Taylor Greene, a Republican supporter of the QAnon conspiracy theory, won her House race in Georgia. Political newcomer and QAnon supporter Lauren Boebert also won her race in Colorado.
Trumpism Is Alive and Well — and It Won’t Go Away Even If Trump Does – Truthout – 11/4/2020
An election that many expected to be a Democratic “Blue Wave” has become a nip and tuck affair that has seen Democrats actually lose seats in the House of Representatives. Democrats still hold the majority in that chamber, but it is a slimmer one today, and the GOP minority will surely be emboldened after outstripping expectations. Dreams of a Democratic Senate majority are slowly but surely falling to dust.
House Republicans Defy Polls, Set to Make Gains against Democrats – National Review – 11/4/2020
Among Democratic losses were several incumbent representatives who took office in 2019, including Joe Cunningham of South Carolina, Xochitl Torres Small of New Mexico, Donna Shalala of Florida, and Kendra Horn of Oklahoma. Cunningham and Horn in particular represented districts that voted heavily for President Trump in 2016.
Progressive Challengers Could Shatter a Washington Narrative on Tuesday – The Intercept – 11/3/2020
With attention squarely focused on the presidential race and the fight for control of the Senate, something remarkable happened on the House side during the primaries: Progressives have been cleaning up. […] If this cycle’s progressive candidates can win in GOP territory, those moderates will face increasing pressure to support publicly the things they claim to support privately — or risk a primary challenge in districts rapidly becoming more progressive.
It Sure Looks Like Democrats Are Going To Retain Control of the House – Reason – 11/3/2020
Making tonight’s results more interesting is the possibility that the House will be called on to break an Electoral College tie in the presidential election. If that happens, Democrats’ majority might not be enough to secure victory in that race. The U.S. Constitution requires each state’s House delegation vote as one unit when breaking up an Electoral College tie. Republicans control 26 state delegations compared to Democrats 22, according to the New York Times, with neither party having a majority in Pennsylvania or Michigan.