THE NEUTRAL ZONE
We know you want it to be over. We want it to be over. Heck, the PRESIDENT wants it to be over (more on that later). But it ain’t over until it’s over. The margins in key states — and really, they are all key at this point — are thinner than a paper cut — and we may not know their final counts for several days. Yes, days, not hours, although we will also know more, perhaps a lot more, by the time you go to bed tonight.
Here’s where things stand. We will update the information below throughout the day. You also have the option of watching the counting yourself.
•Wisconsin — CNN and the Associated Press called Wisconsin for Biden as of noon Wednesday. As of 10 a.m. Wednesday, with 97 percent reported, Wisconsin’s margin was a whisper of 20,000 votes for Democratic contender Joe Biden, which could lead to a recount, although former Republican Gov. Scott Walker suggested that even 20,000 votes was too high for that. Biden had 1,630,337 votes (49.5 percent) and Trump had 1,609,640 (48.8 percent). Trump’s campaign announced that it would request a recount in the state.
•Michigan — With 92 percent reported, Biden had a lead of more than 30,000 votes, 49.5 percent to Trump’s 48.9 percent. Results from “hundreds of thousands” of ballots could arrive by the end of the day. Michigan’s Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson said “no matter how long it takes… their ballots will be counted.” Benson said she thought the ballots would be counted by the end of the day.
•Arizona — With 86 percent reported, Biden looked to be the first Democrat to win Arizona in 24 years. Biden had a lead of nearly 100,000 votes, 51 percent to Trump’s 47.6 percent, as of 10 a.m. Wednesday. The Associated Press called the race for Biden.
•Georgia — The president had a lead of nearly 80,000 votes, 50.3 percent to Biden’s 48.5 percent, with 93 percent reporting. Bill Clinton was the last Democrat to win this state in 1992.
•Pennsylvania — Officials said results may not be ready until Friday. Trump has a big lead of at the moment of less than 400,000 votes, 53.4 percent to Biden’s 45.2 percent, but experts are saying the huge amount of mail ballots, most believed to favor Biden, makes that lead irrelevant.
•Nevada — A margin of just 8,000 votes gave Biden a flimsy lead of 49.3 percent to Trump’s 48.7 percent. Bush won the state in 2000 and 2004, but Democrats have won every other election since 1992. When Hillary Clinton won in 2016, it was only the second time the state sided with the loser.
•North Carolina — Trump’s margin of 80,000 votes appeared semi-secure with 95 percent of the votes reported. Trump had a lead of 50.1 percent to 48.7 percent.
President Trump late on Election Night began calling for states to stop counting votes, and Wednesday morning his campaign said it would contest results in Wisconsin. “There have been reports of irregularities in several Wisconsin counties, which raise serious doubts about the validity of the results,” Bill Stepien, Trump’s campaign manager, said in a statement. “The President is well within the threshold to request a recount and we will immediately do so.” Trump’s campaign also said at noon Wednesday that it would sue to stop votes being counted in Michigan. “President Trump’s campaign has not been provided with meaningful access to numerous counting locations to observe the opening of ballots and the counting process, as guaranteed by Michigan law,” the statement read. “We have filed suit today in the Michigan Court of Claims to halt counting until meaningful access has been granted.”
Biden urged patience and preferred to wait and ensure every vote was counted. “It’s not my place or Donald Trump’s place to declare who’s won this election,” Biden said. “That’s the decision of the American people.”
Climate’s role in the chaotic election – Axios – 11/4/2020
Should Joe Biden ultimately win the White House, his climate agenda will almost certainly be limited — at least for the foreseeable future — to what he can pursue using executive powers.
Paths to US election victory: what Trump and Biden need to win – The Guardian – 11/4/2020
Biden has more ways to win and appears to be running stronger state-to-state based on the places – cities, mainly – where large absentee votes have yet to be counted.
In a country divided, it’s up to us to unite – USA Today – 11/3/2020
The 2020 election finds the United States teetering past partisanship toward complete polarization. It can feel hopeless. But now that Americans’ votes have been cast, how do we move forward? How do we find civility? Common ground? Unity? Sanity?
Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin could tip election. When will we know the results? – Impact 2020 – 11/4/2020
The result of the 2020 presidential election remains up in the air as of Wednesday morning — and it could hinge on the outcome in three key states: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Trump Campaign Declares Victory in Pennsylvania Despite Ballots Still Being Counted – National Review – 11/4/2020
President Donald Trump’s campaign on Wednesday declared victory in Pennsylvania, though hundreds of thousands of votes are still to be counted. Trump’s campaign manager Bill Stepien told reporters the campaign is “declaring a victory in Pennsylvania,” saying they had won the battleground state “based on math” though the Associated Press and other outlets have said the race is too close to call.
The U.S. Officially Withdraws from the Paris Agreement on Climate Change – Reason – 11/4/2020
Should Joe Biden win the presidential election, he has promised to re-enter the Paris Agreement on day one of his administration, when presumably he would reaffirm the NDC commitments made by the Obama administration to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 26 to 28 percent by 2025.